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Forecastıng Economıc Growth Rate : Turgut Türsoy. The Case of North Cyprus /

Yazar: Materyal türü: MakaleMakaleDil: İngilizce Yayın ayrıntıları:2013.Konu(lar): LOC sınıflandırması:
  • HD75
İçindekiler: Journal of Social Sciences April 2013, Volume VI, Number 1 Özet: While GDP is a key indicator of economic activity, it is unfortunately published quite late in North Cyprus. In order to make more accurate forecasting, an auto-aggressive moving average (ARMA) model was used in this study to forecast the real growth rates of the economy. The growth forecasting models that was developed is based on the Box-Jenkins approach which identifies the models, and was used to apply it to ex-ante forecasting. The results indicate that the forecasts relating to the ex-post period real growth rates, that the developed models gave, were reasonably accurate. Based on this result an attempt is made to forecast the ex-ante period real growth rates of North Cyprus
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Online Electronic Document NEU Grand Library Online electronic HD75 .F67 2013 (Rafa gözat(Aşağıda açılır)) Ödünç verilmez EOL-889

While GDP is a key indicator of economic activity, it is unfortunately published quite late in North Cyprus. In order to make more accurate forecasting, an auto-aggressive moving average (ARMA) model was used in this study to forecast the real growth rates of the economy. The growth forecasting models that was developed is based on the Box-Jenkins approach which identifies the models, and was used to apply it to ex-ante forecasting. The results indicate that the forecasts relating to the ex-post period real growth rates, that the developed models gave, were reasonably accurate. Based on this result an attempt is made to forecast the ex-ante period real growth rates of North Cyprus

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